NBA Parlay Picks for Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Safe Pair

Two favorites with opponent injury edges, priced close to even money overall.

+10045% hit chancePending
  1. Memphis Grizzlies to win-256
    Indiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies · 8:10 PM ET Pending
    Pacers 2-6 (away 2-2, L5) · Grizzlies 6-1 (home 2-1, L1)

    Memphis is 6-1 and scoring 123.0 points per game, while Indiana is missing Tyrese Haliburton and T.J. McConnell. That makes the Grizzlies' 69% hit chance easier to trust than most favorites on the board.

  2. New Orleans Pelicans to win-228
    Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans · 8:10 PM ET Pending
    Jazz 1-6 (away 0-2, L5) · Pelicans 3-4 (home 2-2, W3)

    Utah is 1-6, winless on the road, and is down key frontcourt pieces in Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic. New Orleans has won three straight and scores 121.9 per game, supporting its 66% hit chance.

Odds from DraftKings at posting time. Hit chance uses odds from many sportsbooks with their margin removed. It's an estimate, not a promise.

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Value Three

A live underdog plus two injury-supported coin-flip style legs for a mid-range payout.

+78510% hit chancePending
  1. Cleveland Cavaliers to win+131
    Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder · 8:00 PM ET Pending
    Cavaliers 4-3 (away 1-2, L1) · Thunder 5-2 (home 3-0, W1)

    Cleveland gets a fair underdog price with a 42% hit chance, and Oklahoma City is without Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams. The Cavaliers also score 119.7 per game, so they have enough offense to steal this one.

  2. Houston Rockets -8.5-104
    Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets · 8:30 PM ET Pending
    Timberwolves 5-3 (away 2-2, W1) · Rockets 7-1 (home 4-0, W2)

    Houston is 7-1 overall and 4-0 at home, while Minnesota is missing Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo. The Rockets' strong form and home edge make the -8.5 spread reasonable despite the usual spread risk.

  3. Under 233.5 total points-105
    Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Clippers · 10:40 PM ET Pending
    Heat 2-5 (away 1-2, L1) · Clippers 1-6 (home 1-2, L6)

    The Clippers are missing Bradley Beal and Brandon Ingram, which takes away a lot of shot creation. With Los Angeles scoring only 108.1 per game, 233.5 is a high enough number to lean under.

Odds from DraftKings at posting time. Hit chance uses odds from many sportsbooks with their margin removed. It's an estimate, not a promise.

Long Shot

Three live underdogs paired with one strong favorite anchor to chase a bigger but still realistic payout.

+12346% hit chancePending
  1. Philadelphia 76ers to win+115
    Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons · 7:00 PM ET Pending
    76ers 7-1 (away 3-0, W4) · Pistons 6-1 (home 2-0, W3)

    Philadelphia is 7-1, 3-0 on the road, and riding a four-game win streak. Detroit is strong too, but missing Jalen Duren removes its main interior anchor against the 76ers.

  2. Phoenix Suns to win+130
    Portland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns · 9:00 PM ET Pending
    Blazers 5-1 (away 4-0, W2) · Suns 1-4 (home 1-1, L3)

    Phoenix is only 1-4 and lost badly in the earlier meeting, so this is a true long-shot leg. The case is that Portland is now missing Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe, giving the Suns a real chance at +130.

  3. Washington Wizards to win+131
    Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards · 7:10 PM ET Pending
    Hawks 4-4 (away 3-2, W1) · Wizards 4-3 (home 2-1, W2)

    Washington is 4-3, 2-1 at home, and comes in on a two-game winning streak. Atlanta may be without Jalen Johnson, which would hurt its rebounding and frontcourt creation.

  4. Los Angeles Lakers to win-597
    Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings · 10:10 PM ET Pending
    Lakers 6-2 (away 2-1, W2) · Kings 1-6 (home 0-2, W1)

    The Lakers are 6-2 and scoring 122.5 points per game, while Sacramento is 1-6 and allowing 124.3 per game. The Kings are also missing Keegan Murray and Ben Simmons, so the Lakers work as the anchor leg.

Odds from DraftKings at posting time. Hit chance uses odds from many sportsbooks with their margin removed. It's an estimate, not a promise.

Team news we checked
- Jalen Duren, Pistons — out — Detroit loses its main interior anchor vs. Embiid/76ers. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Isaiah Joe, Pistons — out — Removes a key floor-spacer from Detroit’s guard/wing rotation. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Jalen Johnson, Hawks — questionable — Atlanta’s frontcourt creation/rebounding takes a hit if he sits. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Alex Sarr, Wizards — questionable — Washington could be thin protecting the rim. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Josh Hart, Knicks — questionable — Knicks may lose a high-minutes rebounder/connector vs. Chicago. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Jayson Tatum, Celtics — questionable — Listed for rest; Boston’s usage and wing scoring swing sharply if he sits. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Payton Pritchard, Celtics — questionable — Affects Boston’s bench ball-handling and spacing. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Chet Holmgren, Thunder — out — OKC loses elite rim protection and frontcourt spacing vs. Cleveland. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Jalen Williams, Thunder — out — Major secondary creator/scorer unavailable for OKC. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Tyrese Haliburton, Pacers — out — Indiana’s offense loses its primary engine. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- T.J. McConnell, Pacers — out — Pacers are thin at point guard behind Haliburton. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Ivica Zubac, Pacers — questionable — Indiana’s size and rebounding could be compromised. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Scotty Pippen Jr., Grizzlies — out — Memphis loses backcourt depth and on-ball pressure. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Jaren Jackson Jr., Jazz — out — Utah loses a top defensive big and frontcourt scorer. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Jusuf Nurkic, Jazz — out — Jazz frontcourt depth is further depleted. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves — out — Minnesota loses its No. 1 scorer/creator in Houston. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Donte DiVincenzo, Timberwolves — out — Wolves lose shooting and perimeter defense. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Clint Capela, Rockets — questionable — Houston’s center rotation/rebounding depends on his availability. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Ja Morant, Trail Blazers — out — Portland loses its lead ball-handler and rim pressure. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Shaedon Sharpe, Trail Blazers — out — Blazers are short another high-usage athlete/scorer. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Mark Williams, Suns — out — Phoenix’s interior size takes a hit. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Kawhi Leonard, Raptors — out — Toronto loses its top two-way wing against Denver. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Jakob Poeltl, Raptors — questionable — Raptors may lack size vs. Denver’s frontcourt. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Dereck Lively II, Mavericks — out — Dallas loses rim protection and lob finishing. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Santi Aldama, Mavericks — questionable — Dallas frontcourt depth could be stretched. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Tobias Harris, Spurs — out — San Antonio loses a veteran scorer/forward option. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Keegan Murray, Kings — out — Sacramento loses a key wing defender and shooter vs. Lakers. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Ben Simmons, Kings — out — Kings lose playmaking/defensive versatility. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Bradley Beal, Clippers — out — Clippers lose a major shot-creator in the backcourt. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
- Brandon Ingram, Clippers — out — Clippers are down another primary wing scorer. (ak-static.cms.nba.com)
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